Using Math to Predict a Woman’s Fertility Cycle


WALTHAM, Mass. – Doctors have always advised that one can never be sure when a woman is ovulating because there are a lot of factors affecting a woman’s fertility cycle. In today’s times, there have been a lot of fertility apps available in the market which use math to determine a woman’s fertility window.

Countless times, doctors have advised women that to conceive a child, sex must happen just before a person ovulates, or in layman’s terms, release an egg. There have been some who regularly monitor their internal body temperature because they believe this fluctuates when the menstrual cycle begins.

In the vast ocean of fertility apps in the market, all using the same approach to determine a woman’s fertility window, there are two gadgets that use a different way of gathering data. The first one is the EarlySense Percept, a “contactless” tool which is stored under your mattress so that it can monitor your fertility cycle through temperature. Another gadget is the Mira AI monitor.This typically combines multiple urine tests as well as hormonal information to determine where you are in your cycle.

Sara Vaughn, a clinical fellow and a reproductive health specialist at Stanford University, argued that monitoring your fertility cycle is a lot complicated than putting a device under your mattress. In the first place, the temperature is not an ideal way of tracking your cycle.

Using Math to Predict a Woman’s Fertility Cycle

Once someone has ovulated, the body temperature is most likely to change. If that happens, it may already be too late to conceive. Sara Vaughn described the sperm as a confident guy going out with a girl. If the guy (the sperm) arrives at the bar early, there is a high chance that he will wait for her (the egg).

Sperm can be inside a woman for no more than five days. However, once a woman ovulates, it would only take about 24 hours to conceive.Otherwise, you will have your period which is a sign of the egg leaving the body.

However, tracking the temperature isn’t completely useless. It is highly recommendable for some who have a normal fertility cycle. As Sara Vaughn explains, a patient with a normal cycle doesn’t necessarily need a device to tell them whether or not they are ovulating.

They should be having sex five days before the 14th day of their cycle. It is also possible to track your cycle using a device that monitors your heart rate. This method is as good as the OPK or the ovulation prediction kits, commonly known as the “pee on a stick” approach.

Fertile couples will most likely succeed 20% of the time when it comes to conceiving a baby. It is normal for conception to happen for a few months. Most of the time, people would even result in basic math in counting the days when their fertility window will be open.

The fertility device, Mira AI, quantifies the luteinizing hormone in the urine.This is the same hormone used by doctors to monitor a woman’s fertility through blood tests. The cost of the Mira AI is $100, and Percept is $199. Sara Vaughn explained that even with these gadgets, one could not guarantee the accuracy of a woman’s fertility cycle.

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